China’s July manufacturing activity contracts more than expected — declines for fourth-straight month

## China’s Manufacturing Sector Contracts Amid Trade Tensions and Economic Slowdown

Here’s a breakdown of the recent developments in China’s manufacturing sector:

  • Manufacturing PMI Falls: China’s official manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for July fell to 49.3, below expectations and indicating contraction for the fourth consecutive month.
  • Trade Tensions Impact: Ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions and tariffs are contributing to the slowdown. Some manufacturers are shifting production to countries like Vietnam to avoid tariffs.
  • Trade Truce Uncertainty: The trade truce between the U.S. and China is set to expire in mid-August, with no extension announced after recent meetings.
  • Sub-Indexes Show Contraction: Key sub-indexes within the PMI, including employment, new orders, and raw materials inventory, also contracted in July.
  • Weather and Economic Factors: The decline is attributed to factors like seasonal slowdowns, extreme weather, and efforts to address overcapacity.
  • Exports Remain Stable: Despite the slowdown, overall export figures are expected to remain stable in the short term.
  • GDP Growth Slows: China’s GDP growth slowed to 5.2% in the second quarter, down from 5.4% in the first quarter.
  • Services Sector Also Weakens: The non-manufacturing PMI, measuring activity in services, also declined in July.
  • Experts’ Concerns: Economists express concerns about the impact of tariffs on China’s economy from August onwards, with little incentive for businesses to ramp up orders.
  • Limited Stimulus: China’s leaders have not signaled plans for substantial new economic stimulus.

For more details, you can read the original article on CNBC: [https://www.cnbc.com/2023/08/03/china-manufacturing-pmi-july-2023.html](https://www.cnbc.com/2023/08/03/china-manufacturing-pmi-july-2023.html)

Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/31/chinas-july-manufacturing-activity-contracts-more-than-expected-fourth-straight-month-of-dec.html

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